기사 메일전송
워렌 버핏이 말하는 내재가치(Intrinsic value). From 버크셔 해서웨이 1996 사업보고서(영문)
  • 이민주
  • 등록 2017-12-24 16:59:40
  • 목록 바로가기목록으로
  • 링크복사
  • 댓글
  • 인쇄
  • 폰트 키우기 폰트 줄이기

기사수정

  INTRINSIC VALUE :  Warren E. Buffet. Intrinsic Value. An Owner's Manual, 1996.

Now let's focus on a term that I mentioned earlier and that you will encounter in future annual reports.
Intrinsic value is an all-important concept that offers the only logical approach to evaluating the relative attractiveness of investments and businesses. Intrinsic value can be defined simply: It is the discounted value of the cash that can be taken out of a business during its remaining life.

098

The calculation of intrinsic value, though, is not so simple. As our definition suggests, intrinsic value is an estimate rather than a precise figure, and it is additionally an estimate that must be changed if interest rates move or forecasts of future cash flows are revised. Two people looking at the same set of facts, moreover ? and this would apply even to Charlie and me ? will almost inevitably come up with at least slightly different intrinsic value figures. That is one reason we never give you our estimates of intrinsic value. What our annual reports do supply, though, are the facts that we ourselves use to calculate this value.
Meanwhile, we regularly report our per-share book value, an easily calculable number, though one of limited use. The limitations do not arise from our holdings of marketable securities, which are carried on our books at their current prices. Rather the inadequacies of book value have to do with the companies we control, whose values as stated on our books may be far different from their intrinsic values.
The disparity can go in either direction. For example, in 1964 we could state with certitude that Berkshire's per-share book value was $19.46. However, that figure considerably overstated the company's intrinsic value, since all of the company's resources were tied up in a sub-profitable textile business. Our textile assets had neither going-concern nor liquidation values equal to their carrying values. Today, however, Berkshire's situation is reversed: Now, our book value far understates Berkshire's intrinsic value, a point true because many of the businesses we control are worth much more than their carrying value.
Inadequate though they are in telling the story, we give you Berkshire's book-value figures because they today serve as a rough, albeit significantly understated, tracking measure for Berkshire's intrinsic value. In other words, the percentage change in book value in any given year is likely to be reasonably close to that year's change in intrinsic value.
You can gain some insight into the differences between book value and intrinsic value by looking at one form of investment, a college education. Think of the education's cost as its "book value." If this cost is to be accurate, it should include the earnings that were foregone by the student because he chose college rather than a job.
For this exercise, we will ignore the important non-economic benefits of an education and focus strictly on its economic value. First, we must estimate the earnings that the graduate will receive over his lifetime and subtract from that figure an estimate of what he would have earned had he lacked his education. That gives us an excess earnings figure, which must then be discounted, at an appropriate interest rate, back to graduation day. The dollar result equals the intrinsic economic value of the education.
Some graduates will find that the book value of their education exceeds its intrinsic value, which means that whoever paid for the education didn't get his money's worth. In other cases, the intrinsic value of an education will far exceed its book value, a result that proves capital was wisely deployed. In all cases, what is clear is that book value is meaningless as an indicator of intrinsic value.

 

ihs_buffett@naver.com

'버핏연구소' 구독하기

개인정보 수집 및 이용

뉴스레터 발송을 위한 최소한의 개인정보를 수집하고 이용합니다. 수집된 정보는 발송 외 다른 목적으로 이용되지 않으며, 서비스가 종료되거나 구독을 해지할 경우 즉시 파기됩니다.

광고성 정보 수신

제휴 콘텐츠, 프로모션, 이벤트 정보 등의 광고성 정보를 수신합니다.
관련기사
0
  • 목록 바로가기
  • 인쇄


최신뉴스더보기
많이 본 뉴스더보기
  1. [장마감] 코스피 1.38%↓(6598.87), 코스닥 2.29%↓(1192.35) 30일 코스피는 전일비 92.03 포인트(1.38%) 하락한 6598.87로 마감했다. 이날 외국인은 1조4562억원 순매도했고, 개인과 기관은 각각 1조1877억원, 2838억원 순매수했다. 코스닥은 전일비 27.91 포인트(2.29%) 하락한 1192.35로 마쳤다. 이날 개인은 5532억원 순매수했고, 외국인과 기관은 각각 2110억원, 3045억원 순매도했다. 임정은 KB증권 연구원은 KB리서치 장...
  2. 삼익악기, 레저용장비와제품주 고ROE+저PER+저PBR 1위 삼익악기(대표이사 김종섭 김민수. 002450)가 4월 레저용장비와제품주 고ROE+저PER+저PBR 1위를 기록했다.버핏연구소 조사 결과 삼익악기가 4월 레저용장비와제품주 고ROE+저PER+저PBR 1위를 차지했으며, 이녹스(088390), 오로라(039830), 골프존홀딩스(121440)가 뒤를 이었다.삼익악기는 지난 4분기 매출액 548억원, 영업손실 15억원으로 전년동기대비 매출..
  3. [원자재] 화유코발트, 짐바브웨 첫 황산리튬 수출…‘배터리 소재 기지’ 전환 신호 짐바브웨발 리튬 시장이 단순한 원석 수출국에서 한 단계 올라서는 흐름이다. 중국 저장화유코발트(Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt)사가 짐바브웨 아르카디아(Arcadia) 광산에서 생산한 황산리튬 첫 수출에 성공하면서, 아프리카 최초의 황산리튬 수출국 사례가 만들어졌기 때문이다. 쉽게 말해 흙 속 원석만 팔던 나라가 배터리 재료 반제품까지 만들어 더 ...
  4. [버핏 리포트] SK텔레콤, 다소 부진하지만 매출 상승 가능성 높다...저평가 상태 - 하나 하나증권은 SK텔레콤(017670)에 대해 기대배당수익률, 부담 없는PER(주가수익비율), PBR(주가순자산비율)을 근거로 투자의견 '매수'를 유지하고 목표주가 14만원을 제시했다. SK텔레콤의 전일 종가는 9만3200원이다.김홍식 하나증권 연구원은 "올해 1분기 SKT의 연결영업이익은 5376억원으로 컨센서스를 상회했으나 전년동기대비 연결 영업이...
  5. [환율] 엔-달러 156.6700엔 … 2.14%↓ [버핏연구소] 01일 현재 서울외환시장에서 거래되는 엔/달러 환율은 156.6700엔(으)로, 전일비 2.14% 하락세를 보였다.[출...
모바일 버전 바로가기